Hurricane Harvey provides lab for U.S. forecast experiments

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For years, U.S. forecasters Addison Russell Womens Jersey have envied their colleagues at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in Reading, U.K., whose hurricane prediction models remain the gold standard. Infamously, the Andre Dawson Jersey National Weather Service (NWS) in 2012 failed to predict Hurricane Sandy's turn into New Jersey, whereas ECMWF was spot on. But two innovations tested during Hurricane Harvey, one from NASA Blank Jersey and another from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), could help level the playing field. NOAA's offering is a brand-new forecasting model. Two years ago, NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) in Princeton, New Jersey, won David Ross Jersey a competition to provide computer code for the next-generation weather model. Current NWS models must wait for results from Fergie Jenkins Jersey a time-consuming global simulation before they can zoom in on a smaller area and run a high-resolution model for hurricanes. GFDL's new code can simulate storms at the same time as it runs globally. That Jake Arrieta Jersey should improve forecasts for hurricane paths because the model's fine-scaled predictions can feed immediately into its next run, rather than lagging behind.